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Prediction for CME (2021-06-15T04:24:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2021-06-15T04:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17099/-1 CME Note: The arrival for this CME is very uncertain. There are weak signatures of ICMEs around this time, but it looks like it could be more than one. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-06-20T11:21Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-06-19T23:00Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 50.0% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM) Prediction Method Note: Latitude: 01 S Longitude: 22 E Half cone angle: 42 degrees Speed: 148 km/s Arrival time at 21.5 Sr = 0634 UT 16/06/2021Lead Time: 35.10 hour(s) Difference: 12.35 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Duty Forecaster (ASWFC) on 2021-06-19T00:15Z |
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